Boise State vs Wyoming 10/27/2012

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Boise State is a heavy favorite winning 89% of simulations over Wyoming. Joe Southwick is averaging 216 passing yards and 1.79 TDs per simulation and D.J. Harper is projected for 81 rushing yards and a 73% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 11% of simulations where Wyoming wins, Brett Smith averages 1.24 TD passes vs 0.71 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.57 TDs to 0.8 interceptions. Brett Smith averages 60 rushing yards and 0.49 rushing TDs when Wyoming wins and 47 yards and 0.21 TDs in losses. Boise State has a 24% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 96% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is WYO +14.5
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